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2023-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nerlens Noel * 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 - -
Mikal Bridges * 12 4-13 2-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 10 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Seth Curry * 11 1-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Joe Harris * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Patty Mills 30 8-16 5-9 2-2 7 4 1 1 23 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 29 5-13 0-1 1-1 4 2 2 1 11 - -
Yuta Watanabe 29 1-6 0-4 2-2 9 1 1 0 4 - -
David Duke Jr. 27 6-11 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 13 - -
Cam Thomas 25 7-13 3-6 4-4 4 0 0 0 21 - -
Dru Smith 22 7-13 2-6 1-1 3 5 0 1 17 - -
Edmond Sumner 13 2-7 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 9 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 35 10-20 3-7 1-2 10 3 1 9 24 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 4-9 2-6 1-2 3 7 2 1 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 5-13 3-9 6-6 7 2 2 0 19 - -
Bobby Portis * 30 11-15 3-4 3-4 13 2 0 0 28 - -
Khris Middleton * 29 5-19 1-4 0-0 7 7 0 0 11 - -
Joe Ingles 26 2-6 2-4 0-0 8 4 1 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 11 2 0 2 6 - -
Pat Connaughton 16 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Jevon Carter 16 2-12 1-7 0-0 0 4 2 0 5 - -

* = starter