Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (134-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 46 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 42 | 8-23 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 38 | 9-20 | 2-9 | 9-10 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 25 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 26 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 24 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 23 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter