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2023-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% - ✗
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 ✗ (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.9% 50.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% - ✗

Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (103-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 38 9-16 4-7 5-5 4 2 1 0 27 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 9-22 1-7 2-5 6 9 2 2 21 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 1-9 0-2 0-0 5 6 0 1 2 - -
P.J. Washington * 27 6-15 1-5 7-11 5 1 2 3 20 - -
Mark Williams * 11 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Nick Richards 29 6-7 0-0 1-1 10 1 1 2 13 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 23 7-10 0-1 0-2 0 3 3 0 14 - -
Bryce McGowens 17 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
JT Thor 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 7 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Kai Jones 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 31 5-17 2-7 4-4 3 6 0 2 16 - -
Isaiah Livers * 30 6-9 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 13 - -
James Wiseman * 26 8-13 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 1 16 - -
Rodney McGruder * 21 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 20 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 27 3-6 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Cory Joseph 24 6-12 1-3 4-6 3 3 2 0 17 - -
Jalen Duren 21 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 8 - -
Killian Hayes 18 0-6 0-1 1-2 4 5 1 0 1 - -
R.J. Hampton 16 2-4 1-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter