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2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: LA Clippers +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 9-21 1-3 1-2 6 5 2 0 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 4-12 3-8 2-2 4 9 3 0 13 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 37 7-11 4-7 0-0 3 0 3 0 18 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 6-21 2-4 6-6 5 4 2 0 20 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 4-8 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 2 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 2-11 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 15 5-8 2-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Precious Achiuwa 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Thaddeus Young 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 39 8-15 1-1 7-9 12 4 3 0 24 - -
Paul George * 38 8-19 2-6 5-5 2 4 1 0 23 - -
Ivica Zubac * 27 7-8 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 2 17 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Russell Westbrook * 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 7 1 1 7 - -
Terance Mann 28 6-7 0-1 2-3 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Eric Gordon 27 3-7 2-6 1-2 3 2 1 1 9 - -
Mason Plumlee 16 2-3 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Nicolas Batum 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter