Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 10-24 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 40 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 27 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 12-22 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 22 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter