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Cleveland Cavaliers 104
@
Miami Heat 100
2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% - ✓
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✓
Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% - ✓

Actual: Miami Heat -4 (100-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 38 8-16 3-6 6-6 0 7 2 0 25 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 33 7-18 1-7 3-3 4 4 2 0 18 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 7-10 0-0 1-2 12 2 1 1 15 - -
Evan Mobley * 31 5-9 0-2 5-6 6 6 1 2 15 - -
Isaac Okoro * 28 5-7 3-4 0-0 0 2 2 0 13 - -
Lamar Stevens 26 2-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 2 0 6 - -
Caris LeVert 24 3-6 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 7 - -
Ricky Rubio 22 2-7 1-2 0-0 0 4 2 0 5 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler * 35 8-14 0-1 12-15 5 5 2 1 28 - -
Tyler Herro * 35 7-15 4-8 4-5 5 5 2 0 22 - -
Bam Adebayo * 28 8-11 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 2 17 - -
Kevin Love * 20 4-7 0-2 0-0 8 2 1 0 8 - -
Gabe Vincent * 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Victor Oladipo 31 3-10 2-8 1-2 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Caleb Martin 29 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Max Strus 21 2-8 2-8 3-3 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Cody Zeller 19 1-1 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter