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2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 33.9% 66.1% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Log Adjusted 14.8% 85.2% -
Points Off/Def 21.7% 78.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +22 (115-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Reddish * 34 3-8 1-3 3-3 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Jerami Grant * 32 5-12 3-7 0-0 6 0 0 0 13 - -
Damian Lillard * 29 7-16 2-8 11-11 5 8 1 0 27 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 19 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 17 2-6 0-3 1-4 6 2 0 0 5 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 25 4-8 3-6 1-3 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Trendon Watford 25 5-14 0-1 2-2 10 0 0 0 12 - -
Nassir Little 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Jabari Walker 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Keon Johnson 5 0-2 0-1 4-4 1 2 0 1 4 - -
Kevin Knox II 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 35 8-12 1-5 4-4 5 7 0 0 21 - -
Jayson Tatum * 30 11-17 6-10 2-4 7 2 1 0 30 - -
Jaylen Brown * 25 4-10 0-3 3-3 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Al Horford * 24 7-11 3-5 0-0 6 5 0 0 17 - -
Marcus Smart * 21 3-4 2-2 2-4 0 1 2 0 10 - -
Sam Hauser 32 3-9 3-9 2-2 1 0 1 2 11 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 27 2-13 1-7 0-2 9 2 0 0 5 - -
Blake Griffin 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 - -
Grant Williams 12 3-8 2-7 0-1 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Luke Kornet 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
JD Davison 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Mike Muscala 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter