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2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 64.1% 35.9% -
Margin 74.1% 25.9% -5.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -2 (120-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 38 5-16 1-5 6-6 4 6 3 0 17 - -
Trae Young * 32 11-14 3-4 3-4 4 10 3 0 28 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 29 6-12 0-2 3-3 1 0 0 1 15 - -
John Collins * 29 5-9 4-7 0-0 5 0 1 1 14 - -
Clint Capela * 25 4-7 0-0 5-6 3 1 1 1 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 5-7 2-3 2-2 8 5 2 0 14 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 20 4-7 0-1 1-5 4 3 0 2 9 - -
Saddiq Bey 20 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Johnson 18 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 10 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porzingis * 37 17-22 7-10 2-3 5 5 0 0 43 - -
Bradley Beal * 36 8-19 0-2 8-9 3 8 3 1 24 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 10-15 2-7 3-4 10 6 2 0 25 - -
Delon Wright * 31 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 5 3 0 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 32 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Deni Avdija 23 1-6 0-3 0-0 8 3 0 0 2 - -
Monte Morris 16 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter