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2023-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 34 3-14 0-5 1-2 5 5 0 1 7 - -
Tyus Jones * 33 6-14 1-3 3-3 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Xavier Tillman * 32 5-9 0-0 1-2 10 2 4 1 11 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 8-15 2-6 8-11 8 0 1 2 26 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 5-17 3-10 0-0 1 0 0 1 13 - -
Santi Aldama 26 4-8 2-4 1-2 5 1 0 1 11 - -
John Konchar 21 2-4 0-2 2-3 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Luke Kennard 18 1-4 0-2 4-4 7 5 0 0 6 - -
David Roddy 9 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Ziaire Williams 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 11-17 1-2 7-9 22 3 0 2 30 - -
Dennis Schroder * 34 5-14 0-3 7-7 6 9 1 0 17 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 33 4-10 3-6 2-3 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 23 2-5 0-1 1-2 8 2 1 0 5 - -
Malik Beasley * 22 2-10 1-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 - -
Austin Reaves 32 6-13 1-3 4-6 4 7 1 0 17 - -
Rui Hachimura 27 7-11 1-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 17 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 16 3-9 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter