Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (137-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 39 | 9-17 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 14-23 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 30 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 27 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 31 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 34 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 14-24 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 20 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 27 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 29 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 15 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter