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2023-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% -
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks -7 (105-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 10-22 2-7 3-3 5 7 0 0 25 - -
Gordon Hayward * 36 9-17 3-6 2-3 9 8 0 1 23 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 10-17 3-6 4-4 5 2 0 1 27 - -
P.J. Washington * 29 5-10 2-5 1-2 7 2 1 2 13 - -
Mark Williams * 27 3-4 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 1 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 23 1-6 1-3 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 - -
Nick Richards 19 1-1 0-0 5-5 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Bryce McGowens 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
JT Thor 9 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 35 10-24 1-7 6-8 6 4 0 0 27 - -
Julius Randle * 35 5-17 2-9 4-6 8 3 0 0 16 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 35 5-16 3-10 1-1 3 5 0 0 14 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 31 7-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 14 - -
Quentin Grimes * 28 3-8 2-7 4-5 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Josh Hart 32 3-5 1-1 3-4 8 2 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Obi Toppin 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Miles McBride 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 2 7 - -

* = starter