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2023-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -11 (123-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 34 9-14 0-1 8-9 6 1 1 3 26 - -
Jevon Carter * 34 9-13 4-5 2-2 2 5 0 1 24 - -
Khris Middleton * 30 5-9 1-3 13-14 4 11 1 0 24 - -
Bobby Portis * 30 8-13 0-3 0-0 11 1 0 0 16 - -
Grayson Allen * 30 3-8 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Joe Ingles 27 5-6 2-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 12 - -
Jae Crowder 23 5-9 2-5 3-3 5 2 2 1 15 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 1-4 0-3 4-4 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Meyers Leonard 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Lindell Wigginton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 10-20 1-6 0-0 3 6 0 0 21 - -
Paolo Banchero * 32 7-18 2-5 4-8 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Markelle Fultz * 31 7-13 0-2 2-2 1 4 1 0 16 - -
Jalen Suggs * 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Moritz Wagner * 20 6-7 2-3 4-4 8 3 2 0 18 - -
Cole Anthony 33 9-17 1-3 4-5 5 3 2 0 23 - -
Caleb Houstan 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 20 6-9 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 12 - -
Bol Bol 16 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Chuma Okeke 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter