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2023-03-07

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +15 (123-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 9-16 2-4 4-5 3 7 0 0 24 18 -
Herbert Jones * 37 5-8 3-3 0-0 8 8 1 1 13 23 -
Trey Murphy III * 36 6-11 4-9 1-1 5 4 2 2 17 19 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 9-11 1-1 0-0 12 3 0 1 19 24 -
CJ McCollum * 30 6-14 1-5 1-2 4 3 1 0 14 8 -
Naji Marshall 21 3-5 0-2 1-1 2 3 0 0 7 7 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 19 1-7 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 -1 -
Dyson Daniels 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 -
Jaxson Hayes 11 3-5 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 9 6 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 36 5-12 2-8 1-1 3 2 2 0 13 8 -
Kevin Huerter * 36 9-16 6-10 1-3 5 8 2 1 25 25 -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 8-13 1-1 2-3 11 11 1 1 19 30 -
Davion Mitchell * 32 6-8 3-4 0-0 1 6 1 0 15 15 -
Harrison Barnes * 31 5-11 1-5 3-4 3 3 1 1 14 11 -
Trey Lyles 17 6-9 1-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 14 14 -
Matthew Dellavedova 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -
Chimezie Metu 13 4-4 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 9 9 -
Malik Monk 12 3-4 1-2 4-5 1 1 0 0 11 9 -
Terence Davis 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Kessler Edwards 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Keon Ellis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alex Len 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
PJ Dozier 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter