Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 9-14 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 23 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter