Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (130-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 10-19 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - | |
| John Collins * | 20 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 30 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 31 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 27 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter