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2023-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% -
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% -
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% -
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% -
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 6-12 0-0 11-15 10 13 0 3 23 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 6-10 3-5 4-4 2 7 0 0 19 - -
Grayson Allen * 31 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 6-14 3-6 0-1 6 1 1 3 15 - -
Pat Connaughton * 24 3-8 2-7 0-0 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Joe Ingles 25 4-9 4-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Jevon Carter 22 7-13 6-10 0-0 2 0 1 0 20 - -
Bobby Portis 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 5 - -
Jae Crowder 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
AJ Green 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porzingis * 36 11-29 1-8 1-1 13 5 0 2 24 - -
Bradley Beal * 35 15-32 0-5 3-3 9 2 1 0 33 - -
Delon Wright * 29 4-8 1-2 1-1 3 5 2 0 10 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Anthony Gill * 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Corey Kispert 35 4-8 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Deni Avdija 31 5-10 2-4 5-5 6 2 3 0 17 - -
Jordan Goodwin 19 1-7 0-2 1-2 8 4 1 0 3 - -
Kendrick Nunn 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter