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2023-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 45 12-26 1-7 7-10 13 9 0 1 32 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 4-17 3-11 0-0 3 5 2 1 11 - -
Derrick White * 35 5-14 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Mike Muscala * 34 2-6 1-5 0-0 6 0 2 1 5 - -
Blake Griffin * 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 36 8-14 3-6 5-5 4 5 0 0 24 - -
Luke Kornet 18 2-5 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 2 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 16 2-8 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Grant Williams 16 4-6 4-5 0-2 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Sam Hauser 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 47 14-34 4-11 8-8 11 4 0 1 40 - -
Darius Garland * 42 6-18 2-7 3-4 5 12 1 0 17 - -
Evan Mobley * 41 10-14 1-4 4-7 17 1 0 3 25 - -
Jarrett Allen * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 - -
Isaac Okoro * 22 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Caris LeVert 32 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 4 2 3 7 - -
Lamar Stevens 17 3-5 1-2 1-2 8 1 0 0 8 - -
Cedi Osman 17 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dean Wade 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ricky Rubio 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter