Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +32 (142-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaki Branham * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 23 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 17 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 22 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter