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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (113-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte DiVincenzo * 37 2-8 2-6 5-5 7 6 0 1 11 - -
Klay Thompson * 32 8-18 4-10 2-2 5 3 0 1 22 - -
Stephen Curry * 32 8-20 5-13 6-6 2 6 1 0 27 - -
Draymond Green * 31 7-11 0-1 1-3 8 3 0 0 15 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 6 - -
Jordan Poole 28 3-11 3-10 1-2 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Anthony Lamb 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Andre Iguodala 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 13 2-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 5 - -
JaMychal Green 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 41 5-10 4-7 0-0 8 2 0 0 14 - -
Anthony Davis * 37 14-25 1-3 10-13 8 6 0 2 39 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 4-13 1-4 2-2 1 6 1 0 11 - -
Malik Beasley * 30 4-9 1-4 3-3 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 23 5-11 0-2 0-0 13 4 1 0 10 - -
Austin Reaves 27 5-9 3-5 3-4 2 8 1 1 16 - -
Rui Hachimura 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 15 3-9 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 7 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter