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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (122-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 11-17 6-9 1-1 3 11 1 1 29 - -
Myles Turner * 27 8-13 0-4 0-1 3 1 0 3 16 - -
Buddy Hield * 25 3-9 2-7 1-1 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Nwora * 21 3-7 1-3 3-5 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 19 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 4 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 33 5-12 0-4 7-7 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Chris Duarte 22 5-10 5-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 15 - -
Isaiah Jackson 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 6 - -
Oshae Brissett 18 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 4-8 0-1 1-1 3 6 0 0 9 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 13-23 5-8 11-13 4 4 0 0 42 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-16 1-4 4-4 5 3 0 0 23 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 6-10 0-2 0-0 9 5 3 2 12 - -
Patrick Beverley * 32 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso * 26 3-4 0-1 4-4 2 0 2 0 10 - -
Patrick Williams 21 5-6 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Coby White 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Andre Drummond 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter