Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (126-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 12-17 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 15-25 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 21 | 3-13 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 13 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 8-23 | 1-9 | 17-19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 21 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter