Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (134-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Anderson * | 35 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 35 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 5-8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 32 | 11-15 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter