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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (134-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Anderson * 35 7-8 3-3 1-3 7 9 1 2 18 29 -
Anthony Edwards * 35 10-20 2-8 5-8 4 8 0 0 27 19 -
Jaden McDaniels * 33 8-11 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 1 19 16 -
Rudy Gobert * 31 5-9 0-0 3-4 14 0 0 2 13 20 -
Mike Conley * 30 7-12 4-8 6-6 3 3 0 0 24 18 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 23 4-9 4-8 4-5 3 5 1 1 16 17 -
Taurean Prince 18 2-3 1-2 3-3 0 2 0 0 8 7 -
Naz Reid 16 4-5 2-3 0-2 4 1 0 0 10 10 -
Jordan McLaughlin 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 3 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 7-13 3-5 3-3 4 1 0 0 20 12 -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 10-22 0-2 5-7 2 7 1 0 25 13 -
Kevin Huerter * 32 11-15 6-9 1-2 0 2 2 0 29 18 -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 10-18 1-1 3-5 14 5 0 0 24 25 -
Keegan Murray * 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 -
Malik Monk 20 1-4 0-2 6-7 1 5 0 0 8 10 -
Trey Lyles 19 4-5 3-4 4-6 8 1 0 1 15 20 -
Kessler Edwards 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 6 -
Davion Mitchell 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Chimezie Metu 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Terence Davis 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
PJ Dozier 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Alex Len 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter