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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -3 (130-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 40 8-12 2-5 8-8 3 0 1 0 26 - -
James Harden * 39 11-26 5-9 11-11 9 10 1 0 38 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 11-22 3-5 6-10 6 10 0 0 31 - -
P.J. Tucker * 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Tobias Harris * 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Georges Niang 28 5-7 5-6 1-2 1 0 1 0 16 - -
De'Anthony Melton 24 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 19 2-3 1-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Paul Reed 9 1-1 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Shake Milton 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 9-21 0-3 16-18 13 4 1 1 34 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 9-13 5-8 3-3 4 13 0 0 26 - -
Brook Lopez * 33 10-16 3-5 3-4 6 4 0 1 26 - -
Grayson Allen * 30 7-10 6-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 20 - -
Pat Connaughton * 17 0-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Khris Middleton 27 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Joe Ingles 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Jae Crowder 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter