Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (110-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 19 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 9 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 28 | 7-15 | 7-12 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 19 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter