Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 32 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 34 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 8-21 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 31 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 18 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - |
* = starter