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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.9% 71.1% -
Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% -
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +24 (114-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvin Bagley III * 34 8-12 1-2 3-6 13 2 1 3 20 - -
Jaden Ivey * 30 4-14 1-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Livers * 24 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 7 - -
James Wiseman * 23 1-6 0-1 1-2 9 1 1 2 3 - -
Killian Hayes * 17 2-7 0-1 1-3 2 5 1 0 5 - -
Hamidou Diallo 26 7-13 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 14 - -
Cory Joseph 23 2-3 1-1 4-4 2 3 0 1 9 - -
R.J. Hampton 16 3-8 1-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Rodney McGruder 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 12 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jared Rhoden 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Buddy Boeheim 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 29 7-14 0-1 2-4 11 6 1 4 16 - -
Jarrett Allen * 25 6-9 0-0 3-5 5 0 2 0 15 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 24 8-17 2-6 2-3 3 4 2 1 20 - -
Darius Garland * 23 8-11 5-6 0-0 3 7 2 0 21 - -
Isaac Okoro * 19 2-5 0-2 1-2 0 0 2 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 22 4-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Caris LeVert 21 3-8 3-4 2-4 2 3 1 0 11 - -
Ricky Rubio 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 3 2 2 5 - -
Cedi Osman 18 2-7 1-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Dean Wade 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 - -
Danny Green 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Raul Neto 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Merrill 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter