🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% -
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (109-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 9-16 6-11 1-1 4 10 3 2 25 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 39 2-11 0-6 2-2 3 2 1 1 6 - -
Pascal Siakam * 37 5-10 0-1 5-5 4 7 4 0 15 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 6-11 0-0 0-1 3 6 0 0 12 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 6-8 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 35 11-18 4-7 0-1 5 4 2 0 26 - -
Precious Achiuwa 18 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 15 4-5 1-2 0-1 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Will Barton 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 41 7-22 2-3 5-6 4 10 0 2 21 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 41 5-12 2-5 4-4 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 39 9-14 2-2 2-3 11 4 2 2 22 - -
Delon Wright * 39 6-10 4-6 2-2 6 7 6 1 18 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Corey Kispert 35 4-4 4-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Goodwin 20 3-4 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Deni Avdija 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Kendrick Nunn 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 6 0-1 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter