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2023-03-04

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% - ✓
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 ✓ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 40 8-21 3-10 6-6 6 5 0 1 25 - -
Brandon Ingram * 37 6-16 0-2 5-8 5 4 1 0 17 - -
Trey Murphy III * 37 6-14 3-9 0-0 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Herbert Jones * 35 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 5 4 1 7 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 15 1-3 0-0 4-4 6 1 2 0 6 - -
Naji Marshall 29 5-12 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Jaxson Hayes 21 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 2 5 - -
Dyson Daniels 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 9 3-3 2-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 9 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 33 10-17 4-9 3-4 1 4 1 0 27 - -
Jordan Poole * 33 3-13 0-5 12-12 2 7 1 0 18 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 1-3 1-3 0-0 7 6 1 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney * 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 0 10 - -
Draymond Green * 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 32 9-13 1-2 0-0 7 0 4 1 19 - -
Ty Jerome 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Lamb 17 4-10 3-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 11 - -
JaMychal Green 15 5-7 1-2 3-4 6 1 0 2 14 - -
Moses Moody 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter