Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +16 (113-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 8-20 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 23 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 19 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter