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2023-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (21.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -21 (104-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 12-24 6-10 5-6 5 6 1 1 35 - -
Josh Okogie * 32 7-15 5-10 6-6 4 0 0 0 25 - -
Kevin Durant * 30 7-10 2-4 4-5 9 6 1 1 20 - -
Chris Paul * 29 4-8 3-7 0-0 6 10 2 0 11 - -
Deandre Ayton * 27 2-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Jock Landale 20 3-3 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 2 9 - -
Torrey Craig 20 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Cameron Payne 17 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 3 0 1 6 - -
Damion Lee 15 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Darius Bazley 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Ish Wainright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Saben Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 8-21 2-7 9-11 4 4 1 0 27 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 13-18 1-1 4-7 0 6 2 0 31 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 6-15 1-3 0-0 9 2 1 0 13 - -
Patrick Beverley * 29 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Patrick Williams * 28 4-8 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Coby White 21 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso 19 1-4 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 17 3-6 1-3 1-1 2 4 2 0 8 - -
Andre Drummond 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terry Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter