Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (120-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 16-25 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 31 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Josh Hart | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 22 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 18-20 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 33 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 25 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 25 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Max Strus | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter