Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +18 (129-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 39 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 10-21 | 5-11 | 8-9 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 32 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 23 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 17-22 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 32 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 29 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter