Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 12-17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 20 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| George Hill * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 33 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 32 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 11-26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter