Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (133-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 32 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 35 | 13-21 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 25 | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 34 | 12-21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 13 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 30 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Georges Niang | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Paul Reed | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Shake Milton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 42 | 15-22 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 40 | 31 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 13-22 | 7-13 | 9-11 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 37 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 38 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Josh Green * | 32 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 14 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter