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2023-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% -
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +11 (119-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 39 5-17 2-11 2-2 3 8 2 0 14 - -
Pascal Siakam * 39 6-16 1-5 0-0 11 6 0 1 13 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 38 9-16 4-9 4-4 3 2 2 1 26 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 6-15 0-3 2-2 3 5 0 0 14 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 31 8-9 0-0 7-7 13 4 3 2 23 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 17 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 13 4-6 2-2 2-2 3 1 0 2 12 - -
Precious Achiuwa 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Will Barton 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Thaddeus Young 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 35 5-14 3-4 2-3 5 5 0 0 15 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 35 8-12 2-4 7-7 5 2 1 2 25 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 10-24 4-9 6-8 5 5 1 0 30 - -
Delon Wright * 33 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 11 3 0 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 31 8-10 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 1 18 - -
Deni Avdija 28 2-7 0-3 2-3 9 3 0 1 6 - -
Corey Kispert 23 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Jordan Goodwin 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Kendrick Nunn 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter