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2023-03-02

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% -
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% -
Points Off/Def 58.3% 41.7% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -11 (110-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 18-29 1-5 3-3 6 5 2 0 40 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 9-19 2-5 4-4 7 7 0 0 24 - -
Herbert Jones * 28 3-7 1-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 20 2-7 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 1 7 - -
Josh Richardson * 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Trey Murphy III 31 3-10 3-10 0-0 5 3 3 0 9 - -
Naji Marshall 27 3-6 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Jaxson Hayes 15 4-5 0-1 7-8 4 3 2 2 15 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Dyson Daniels 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 12-22 2-9 15-16 8 0 1 0 41 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 38 5-10 2-4 0-0 8 4 1 4 12 - -
Jerami Grant * 37 7-14 5-9 9-10 4 3 0 1 28 - -
Anfernee Simons * 20 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Drew Eubanks * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 - -
Trendon Watford 30 4-7 0-3 0-0 5 6 2 0 8 - -
Cam Reddish 24 4-8 2-5 3-3 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Nassir Little 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Keon Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter