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2023-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (117-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 37 8-18 3-6 7-8 2 6 2 1 26 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 33 7-10 4-7 1-1 1 4 1 2 19 - -
Malik Beasley * 27 4-15 3-12 0-0 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 22 2-5 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Mo Bamba * 21 4-5 3-4 1-2 7 2 1 1 12 - -
Rui Hachimura 27 3-6 1-2 2-2 9 2 0 3 9 - -
Austin Reaves 24 5-5 1-1 8-9 0 4 1 0 19 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 22 2-7 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 5 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 17 2-7 1-2 8-11 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Max Christie 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 35 7-16 1-7 4-6 2 2 0 1 19 - -
Jalen Williams * 34 9-17 3-5 3-4 4 7 2 0 24 - -
Josh Giddey * 34 10-17 1-4 1-3 9 11 0 0 22 - -
Jaylin Williams * 25 1-7 0-3 2-2 12 2 1 1 4 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 29 5-11 3-9 2-2 2 3 1 0 15 - -
Aaron Wiggins 23 4-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 1 8 - -
Lindy Waters III 18 2-5 2-5 2-2 1 1 1 1 8 - -
Dario Saric 15 5-6 1-2 2-3 2 0 0 0 13 - -
Tre Mann 8 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 4 - -

* = starter