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2023-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +22 (139-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 31 4-13 0-2 1-2 7 5 0 2 9 10 -
Markelle Fultz * 31 9-14 1-2 2-3 7 5 0 0 21 19 -
Franz Wagner * 30 5-11 1-3 7-8 1 1 0 0 18 9 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 6-13 1-4 6-8 10 0 0 1 19 17 -
Gary Harris * 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 4 -
Cole Anthony 32 10-16 3-7 5-7 7 4 0 0 28 23 -
Jalen Suggs 24 3-9 0-2 0-0 5 2 2 0 6 6 -
Bol Bol 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 6 -
Moritz Wagner 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 -
Chuma Okeke 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
Goga Bitadze 4 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Caleb Houstan 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Admiral Schofield 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Allen * 27 4-8 4-8 0-0 5 4 2 0 12 15 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 27 10-14 3-4 8-10 7 6 0 1 31 31 -
Brook Lopez * 27 6-9 4-5 2-3 3 2 1 0 18 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 27 10-18 1-7 2-2 4 9 0 0 23 18 -
Pat Connaughton * 23 3-8 3-8 1-2 6 2 0 0 10 10 -
Joe Ingles 20 6-9 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 16 10 -
Jae Crowder 20 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 6 -
Bobby Portis 17 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 1 -
Jevon Carter 17 3-6 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 9 10 -
AJ Green 17 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 12 8 -
MarJon Beauchamp 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Meyers Leonard 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter