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2023-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% -
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% -
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -14 (99-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 29 12-17 6-9 0-0 9 6 0 1 30 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 6-12 2-7 3-3 4 0 0 5 17 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 5-10 4-8 2-2 3 2 1 0 16 - -
Xavier Tillman * 26 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 3 0 2 4 - -
Ja Morant * 26 6-12 1-2 7-10 7 7 2 0 20 - -
Tyus Jones 21 3-9 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kennard 20 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Santi Aldama 20 4-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 6 - -
John Konchar 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Ziaire Williams 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 34 8-12 2-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 19 - -
Alperen Sengun * 31 5-6 0-1 1-4 8 5 1 0 11 - -
Jalen Green * 28 7-18 4-7 2-3 3 3 0 1 20 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 25 3-11 2-5 3-4 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 20 2-7 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Tari Eason 25 4-11 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 3 10 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 18 4-9 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Josh Christopher 15 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Daishen Nix 14 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 - -
Usman Garuba 13 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 1 8 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 4 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Frank Kaminsky 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter