Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✗ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -23 (96-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 37 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 20 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 29 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 27 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 30 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter