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Cleveland Cavaliers 113
@
Boston Celtics 117
2023-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - ✓

Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 43 17-32 4-12 6-7 4 5 0 0 44 - -
Darius Garland * 40 12-21 5-9 0-3 3 9 4 0 29 - -
Evan Mobley * 39 6-15 0-2 0-2 13 1 1 0 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 39 2-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 3 2 5 - -
Isaac Okoro * 15 2-5 0-3 5-5 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Caris LeVert 33 5-11 0-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 10 - -
Dean Wade 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ricky Rubio 7 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 6-15 2-5 2-2 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 3-11 2-3 6-8 0 2 3 0 14 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 13-21 4-6 11-14 11 8 0 0 41 - -
Al Horford * 32 8-10 6-8 1-1 11 3 0 1 23 - -
Robert Williams III * 30 4-4 0-0 3-3 11 3 1 2 11 - -
Derrick White 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 1 4 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Mike Muscala 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 8 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter