🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% -
Points Off/Def 64.2% 35.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (115-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 14-20 6-9 7-7 1 0 1 1 41 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-16 0-0 7-9 7 7 0 0 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 5-15 0-5 2-4 9 2 1 0 12 - -
Patrick Beverley * 33 2-4 0-2 1-4 10 10 4 1 5 - -
Alex Caruso * 20 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Patrick Williams 27 4-9 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 2 11 - -
Coby White 22 5-11 3-6 1-1 2 5 3 0 14 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 39 11-21 8-12 4-4 6 3 1 1 34 - -
Jaden Ivey * 31 5-9 2-4 6-9 4 2 1 0 18 - -
James Wiseman * 29 3-5 0-1 1-2 9 2 0 0 7 - -
Killian Hayes * 24 5-9 1-4 0-0 2 7 3 0 11 - -
Rodney McGruder * 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 28 7-13 0-2 5-5 1 1 0 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 - -
Marvin Bagley III 18 2-5 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 1 8 - -
Alec Burks 18 3-8 2-7 3-4 4 1 1 0 11 - -
R.J. Hampton 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter