Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +18 (123-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-8 | 13-15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 9-21 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 25 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 15 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 32 | 10-24 | 3-10 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 32 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter