Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (122-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 12-15 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 10-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 19 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 28 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 14-25 | 3-9 | 8-12 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 36 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 18 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter