Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (117-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 9 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 27 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter