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2023-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 9-19 0-1 10-13 19 0 0 5 28 - -
Dennis Schroder * 32 4-11 1-4 1-1 4 10 0 0 10 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 28 1-6 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 1 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 26 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Austin Reaves 27 5-8 4-7 3-3 2 7 1 1 17 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 22 7-15 5-10 2-2 4 1 0 1 21 - -
Rui Hachimura 19 3-7 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 6 - -
Max Christie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Davon Reed 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mo Bamba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 15-29 0-5 9-11 10 10 2 0 39 - -
Xavier Tillman * 32 9-17 0-1 0-0 11 2 2 1 18 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 7-14 1-4 1-1 7 0 1 4 16 - -
Desmond Bane * 30 7-13 0-2 2-3 5 3 4 1 16 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 2-11 2-6 1-2 3 2 2 0 7 - -
Luke Kennard 22 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Santi Aldama 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 13 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 4 2 0 7 - -
John Konchar 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ziaire Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kennedy Chandler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter