Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -21 (112-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 12-18 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix * | 25 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 19 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 31 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 22 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter