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2023-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 6-12 1-5 4-4 2 3 1 1 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 5-11 0-0 3-5 0 2 1 1 13 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 9-14 4-6 1-1 5 4 0 0 23 - -
Patrick Beverley * 29 3-6 1-4 1-2 7 4 0 1 8 - -
Alex Caruso * 26 2-5 1-4 1-1 4 6 1 1 6 - -
Coby White 22 2-7 1-3 2-2 0 5 0 0 7 - -
Patrick Williams 21 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 2 1 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 19 5-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 1 10 - -
Andre Drummond 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 6 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 35 4-12 2-3 1-3 8 4 1 4 11 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 1-11 1-9 0-0 6 9 1 0 3 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 7-18 1-5 5-6 8 3 1 0 20 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 33 6-13 2-4 3-4 8 2 1 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 6-9 0-0 2-4 3 2 3 2 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 27 6-13 5-11 2-2 5 1 2 0 19 - -
Thaddeus Young 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 13 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Precious Achiuwa 12 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Will Barton 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter