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2023-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% - โœ—
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 โœ— (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (116-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 36 10-26 2-7 6-7 3 1 1 1 28 - -
Bradley Beal * 35 17-30 1-4 2-2 3 7 1 0 37 - -
Daniel Gafford * 34 5-6 0-0 3-4 12 2 1 3 13 - -
Deni Avdija * 31 2-9 0-1 0-0 13 0 1 0 4 - -
Delon Wright * 30 3-4 0-0 3-3 3 4 0 1 9 - -
Corey Kispert 24 3-7 3-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Goodwin 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 4 2 0 6 - -
Kendrick Nunn 15 4-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Taj Gibson 13 2-4 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 5 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 35 7-18 1-6 0-0 2 5 0 0 15 - -
Clint Capela * 35 6-8 0-0 1-2 15 3 2 3 13 - -
Trae Young * 34 11-26 2-6 7-8 2 7 0 1 31 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 6-11 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 2 14 - -
John Collins * 26 3-6 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Saddiq Bey 27 4-9 4-8 0-0 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 19 4-7 4-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 16 - -
AJ Griffin 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 12 1-4 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 1 3 - -

* = starter